CON/001/2017
1. BACKGROUND
Ethiopia is experiencing a drought with a large number of communities in pastoralist and agro pastoralists in Afar and Somali regions of Ethiopia. Official government figures of those directly affected and emergency food insecure rose from 2.9 m in Jan 2015 to 8.2m in Oct 2015 due to Belg rain season failure (Mach-April). In Dec the Government of Ethiopia announced the new emergency food insecure figure estimating that a total of 10.2m people are in need of emergency food assistance due to the main Kiremt rain season failure (June-Sept) caused by unprecedented El Nino. Sitti and Fanfan zones of Somali Regional State are among the most affected areas by the drought.
In response to adverse effects of the drought, SC Ethiopia with the financial support from USAID/OFDA has initiated a project Integrated Drought Response in Sitti and Fanfan Zones of Somali Region. The overall aim of the project is saving lives, alleviating human suffering, and reducing the social and economic impact of disasters. Within this overall intent, the project outlines the following specific objectives;
· Protecting and recovering the livelihoods of drought affected pastoralist and agro-pastoralists,
· Providing treatment for severely acutely malnourished (SAM) children, and
· Ensure targeted children and families have access to safe water and improved hygiene practice
This endline evaluation is initiated to know the current context of the target beneficiaries in line with the defined indicators so as eventually measure the changes attributable to the project.
2. OBJECTIVE – ENDLINE EVALUATION SURVEY
Depict the actual situation in the targeted woredas of Sitti and Fanfan zones in Somali Regional State through documenting the existing qualitative and/or quantitative values of project indictors at output and outcome level on targeted beneficiaries and inform the plans to make realistic target. Specifically, the endline evaluation survey comes up with
· Measurable data about the current values of each indicators at output, outcome and impact levels so that we will be in apposition to measure the changes among the lives of the target beneficiaries,
· Facilitate programming action on building community resilience and through multi-sectoral interventions as well as the mapping of other similar programs/projects.
3. METHODOLOGY: SAMPLING STRATEGY
A mixed method approach are employed in this end line evaluation study including randomized household sampling, focus groups and key informant interviews to collect both qualitative and quantitative data points. Information is going to be gathered using Tablets/Mobile Data Collection[1].
Touch devices via tablets for the household surveys and using …..Record interviews and focus group discussions. The following section describes the statistical methods applied to identify household respondents.
3.1. Sampling Frame & Unit
While defining the frame, determine two categories; WASH category I, FSL and Nutrition category II. The distinction has been justified; there are only 2 woredas for WASH, intersected kebeles with FSL are only 2 out of the eight kebeles. In consultation with the respective specialist separate sample frame is required.
Category I | ||
Woredas | Population | Sample Size |
Erer | 29172 | 139 |
Dambal | 26197 | 124 |
Shinele | 0 |
|
Aysha | 0 |
|
Awubare | 0 |
|
Total | 55369 | 263 |
HH | 11074 |
|
Category I: the sampling frame consists of the communities and households that fall within the project defined kebele radius, or approximately 263 households in eight kebeles of Erer, Shinele, Aysha, Awbare and Dambal woredas. 264 households will be sampled in proportion to the number of households in each kebele. Appendix 1.0 shows the proportions of households sampled per kebele as well as communities within the kebeler.
Category II | ||
Woredas | Population | Sample Size |
Erer | 120706 | 64 |
Dambal | 117907 | 62 |
Shinele | 109420 | 69 |
Aysha | 84983 | 23 |
Awubare | 293211 | 203 |
Total | 726227 | 384 |
HH | 145245 |
|
Category II: the sampling frame consists of the communities and households that fall within the project defined kebele radius, or approximately 384 households in more than 65 kebeles [2]of Erer, Shinele, Aysha, Awubare and Dambal woredas. 384 households will be sampled in proportion to the number of households in each woreda first (see table below) and in each kebele later on. Appendix 1.0 shows the proportions of households sampled per kebele as well as communities within the kebeler.
3.2. Sampling Approach
Multi‐stage sampling approach is used to identify the kebele from which households are selected to participate in the survey. They are selected at random through a lottery.
At the second stage, the sample sizes of each community are determined in proportion to the total number of households in the community. After determining the sample size of each village, households are randomly selected by lottery in the survey if their lists are available. In case where the lists are not available, random route could be employed. A particular household either do not want to take part in the survey or would not be available, they are replaced by the next household.
3.3. Sample size
The sample formula below was applied at each stage of the sample strategy. All sample sizes were selected to allow for a 95 percent confidence level (Z) and a confidence interval of +5 percent (d). The population (N) is based on the 2015/16 projection based national census, and local government sources.
3.4. Qualitative Strategy
3.4.1. Focus Group Discussion (FGD)
Quota sampling will be used to select 10‐15 participants for both all‐male and all female focus group discussions (FGD) depending on the issue. The focus group discussion is a qualitative data collection method, which aimed at seek community or stakeholder views and assessment of the current context before the project intervention. This method is a suitable complement to the household survey which allows open discussions and an opportunity for community members or stakeholders to express themselves. The participants in the FGDs are purposely selected to include …. And …….community leadership of each kebele. There will be a total of…. focus groups discussions to be conducted, two per kebele…., with a total of ….. Participants. Each sector to include the type and # of participants in the FGD.
3.4.2. Key Informants Interview (FGD)
Purposive sampling will be used here as well to select ….community representative, or experts to share their views and opinions on three main thematic subject areas of Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH), Food Security and Livelihood, Nutrition; crosscutting issue particularly the issue of Gender is embedded in the instruments. The selected key informants are community leaders, or experts who provided detailed information and unique perspective on particular issues based on their expert knowledge. These in‐depth interviews are qualitative information that enhances understanding of the quantitative data gathered about the results of end line evaluation.
4. Geographical location of the evaluation: The location of the end line evaluation is 4 woredas in Sitti zone and 1 woreda in Fafan zone of Ethiopian Somali regional State. The specific target sites within each woreda will be further identified in consultation with SCI Dire Dawa staff, woreda authority and community representatives as well.
[1] Kobo
[2] How many kebeles - check
5. Duration of the consultancy;
The duration of the consultancy are 30 calendar days including field visits?
Start and End Date:
The consultant must start at: March 09, 2017 and end on April 08, 2017
6. Schedule
The consultant is expected to submit detailed breakdown of the work plan and time of starting the evaluation work clearly indicating the timelines of each of the activities.
7. Expected deliverable.
At the end of the consultancy period, the consultant is expected to submit final evaluation report. He/She must submit 3 hard copies and 1 Electronic copy to save the children.
Minimum Qualification and requirement
A minimum of MA/MSc degree in sociology, agricultural economics, developments studies, statistics or related field study is a requirement. The incumbent must have a minimum of 12 years of work experience in pastoral food security, nutrition and/or WASH activities. The individual consultant must be able to collect data and analyze using smartphones. Experience in Somali region is added value
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